Market price$208k demo volume
91%
$1.5K depth
← Politics
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Will a Democrat win California's Senate race in 2026?
$208k demo volume vol$1.5K depth liq1,390 demo traders23 days left
Chance
91%Yes
+1 pt this month
Volume$208k demo volume
Liquidity$1.5K depth
Ends23 days left
Probability path91%
Evidence-linked repricing across the latest reporting cycle.
Order book
Top levels
LevelPriceSizeYesNo
Offer 1$66k
91%
$66k
Offer 2$48k
92%
$48k
Offer 3$32k
93%
$32k
Market activity
Signals and updates
Market updateApr 21
State pollingLow
Polling keeps the race firmly one-sided
The market stays near the low 90s.
Resolution
Market rules
Settlement rule
Resolves YES if the Democratic candidate wins California's U.S. Senate election in 2026.
2026-11-1523 days left
Timeline
Event-by-event log
Apr 21
Low impactState polling
Polling keeps the race firmly one-sided
The market stays near the low 90s.