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PoliticsWhite House
Active
Will the White House announce a new tariff package by June 30?
37% chanceResolves Jun 30, 2026
Yes37¢No63¢
Vol. $258k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth
P
PoliticsTrump
Active
Will Trump publish more than 20 X posts next week?
62% chanceResolves May 10, 2026
Yes62¢
No38¢

On hold

Vol. $214k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth
P
PoliticsxAI
Active
Will xAI close another $10B+ funding round in 2026?
58% chanceResolves Dec 31, 2026
Yes58¢No42¢
Vol. $203k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth
P
PoliticsTesla
Active
Will Tesla launch FSD in China in 2026?
44% chanceResolves Dec 31, 2026
Yes44¢No56¢
Vol. $184k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth
P
PoliticsTesla
Active
Will Tesla hold a robotaxi launch event before July?
45% chanceResolves Jun 30, 2026
Yes45¢No55¢
Vol. $244k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth
P
PoliticsCongress
Active
Will a U.S. federal stablecoin bill pass in 2026?
39% chanceResolves Dec 31, 2026
Yes39¢No61¢
Vol. $208k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth
P
PoliticsTrump
Active
Will Trump appear on Joe Rogan's podcast in 2026?
33% chanceResolves Dec 31, 2026
Yes33¢No67¢
Vol. $188k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth
P
PoliticsFed Chair
Active
Will the Fed Chair clearly signal a 2026 cut path in May?
43% chanceResolves May 31, 2026
Yes43¢No57¢
Vol. $286k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth
P
PoliticsCongress
Active
Will the U.S. government shut down in 2026?
41% chanceResolves Dec 31, 2026
Yes41¢No59¢
Vol. $231k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth
P
PoliticsMicrosoft
Active
Will Microsoft and OpenAI announce a major contract renewal in 2026?
55% chanceResolves Dec 31, 2026
Yes55¢No45¢
Vol. $193k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth
P
PoliticsOpenAI
Active
Will OpenAI reveal a consumer device in 2026?
38% chanceResolves Dec 31, 2026
Yes38¢No62¢
Vol. $191k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth
P
PoliticsOpenAI
Active
Will OpenAI acquire an AI chip startup in 2026?
26% chanceResolves Dec 31, 2026
Yes26¢No74¢
Vol. $173k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth
P
PoliticsOpenAI
Active
Will OpenAI materially expand GPT Store revenue sharing in 2026?
46% chanceResolves Dec 31, 2026
Yes46¢No54¢
Vol. $169k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth
P
PoliticsElections
Active
Will Republicans control the House after the 2026 election?
54% chanceResolves Nov 12, 2026
Yes54¢No46¢
Vol. $618k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth
P
PoliticsOpenAI
Active
Will OpenAI reach a $20B revenue run-rate in 2026?
49% chanceResolves Dec 31, 2026
Yes49¢No51¢
Vol. $209k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth
P
PoliticsAI
Active
Will the U.S. adopt a national AI safety rule in 2026?
35% chanceResolves Dec 31, 2026
Yes35¢No65¢
Vol. $181k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth
P
PoliticsCongress
Active
Will a Supreme Court term-limits bill clear either chamber in 2026?
18% chanceResolves Dec 31, 2026
Yes18¢No82¢
Vol. $176k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth
P
PoliticsElon Musk
Active
Will Elon Musk give a major Mars timeline update in 2026?
67% chanceResolves Dec 31, 2026
Yes67¢No33¢
Vol. $172k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth
P
PoliticsApple
Active
Will Apple rebrand its on-device AI stack in 2026?
29% chanceResolves Dec 31, 2026
Yes29¢No71¢
Vol. $162k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth
P
PoliticsApple
Active
Will Apple expand its OpenAI partnership in 2026?
52% chanceResolves Dec 31, 2026
Yes52¢No48¢
Vol. $204k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth
P
PoliticsElections
Active
Will Democrats win the 2028 U.S. popular vote?
56% chanceResolves Nov 15, 2028
Yes56¢No44¢
Vol. $470k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth
P
PoliticsElections
Active
Will a Democrat win California's Senate race in 2026?
91% chanceResolves Nov 15, 2026
Yes91¢No9¢
Vol. $208k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth
P
PoliticsFed Chair
Active
Will the Fed make an emergency rate cut in 2026?
12% chanceResolves Dec 31, 2026
Yes12¢No88¢
Vol. $177k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth
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