Will the White House announce a new tariff package by June 30?37% chanceResolves Jun 30, 2026
Vol. $258k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth
Will Trump publish more than 20 X posts next week?62% chanceResolves May 10, 2026
On hold
Vol. $214k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth
Will xAI close another $10B+ funding round in 2026?58% chanceResolves Dec 31, 2026
Vol. $203k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth
Will Tesla launch FSD in China in 2026?44% chanceResolves Dec 31, 2026
Vol. $184k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth
Will Tesla hold a robotaxi launch event before July?45% chanceResolves Jun 30, 2026
Vol. $244k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth
Will a U.S. federal stablecoin bill pass in 2026?39% chanceResolves Dec 31, 2026
Vol. $208k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth
Will Trump appear on Joe Rogan's podcast in 2026?33% chanceResolves Dec 31, 2026
Vol. $188k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth
Will the Fed Chair clearly signal a 2026 cut path in May?43% chanceResolves May 31, 2026
Vol. $286k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth
Will the U.S. government shut down in 2026?41% chanceResolves Dec 31, 2026
Vol. $231k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth
Will Microsoft and OpenAI announce a major contract renewal in 2026?55% chanceResolves Dec 31, 2026
Vol. $193k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth
Will OpenAI reveal a consumer device in 2026?38% chanceResolves Dec 31, 2026
Vol. $191k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth
Will OpenAI acquire an AI chip startup in 2026?26% chanceResolves Dec 31, 2026
Vol. $173k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth
Will OpenAI materially expand GPT Store revenue sharing in 2026?46% chanceResolves Dec 31, 2026
Vol. $169k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth
Will Republicans control the House after the 2026 election?54% chanceResolves Nov 12, 2026
Vol. $618k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth
Will OpenAI reach a $20B revenue run-rate in 2026?49% chanceResolves Dec 31, 2026
Vol. $209k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth
Will the U.S. adopt a national AI safety rule in 2026?35% chanceResolves Dec 31, 2026
Vol. $181k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth
Will a Supreme Court term-limits bill clear either chamber in 2026?18% chanceResolves Dec 31, 2026
Vol. $176k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth
Will Elon Musk give a major Mars timeline update in 2026?67% chanceResolves Dec 31, 2026
Vol. $172k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth
Will Apple rebrand its on-device AI stack in 2026?29% chanceResolves Dec 31, 2026
Vol. $162k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth
Will Apple expand its OpenAI partnership in 2026?52% chanceResolves Dec 31, 2026
Vol. $204k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth
Will Democrats win the 2028 U.S. popular vote?56% chanceResolves Nov 15, 2028
Vol. $470k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth
Will a Democrat win California's Senate race in 2026?91% chanceResolves Nov 15, 2026
Vol. $208k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth
Will the Fed make an emergency rate cut in 2026?12% chanceResolves Dec 31, 2026
Vol. $177k demo volumeLiq. $1.5K depth