Market price$181k demo volume
35%
$1.5K depth
← New
Active
N
Will the U.S. adopt a national AI safety rule in 2026?
$181k demo volume vol$1.5K depth liq1,150 demo traders160 days left
Chance
35%Yes
+3 pts this month
Volume$181k demo volume
Liquidity$1.5K depth
Ends160 days left
Probability path35%
Evidence-linked repricing across the latest reporting cycle.
Order book
Top levels
LevelPriceSizeYesNo
Offer 1$59k
35%
$59k
Offer 2$43k
37%
$43k
Offer 3$30k
39%
$30k
Market activity
Signals and updates
Market updateApr 26
Policy reportingLow
Federal safety-framework chatter remains active
The contract stays live but sub-50.
Resolution
Market rules
Settlement rule
Resolves YES if the U.S. adopts a national AI safety rule or equivalent federal framework in calendar 2026.
December 31, 2026160 days left
Timeline
Event-by-event log
Apr 26
Low impactPolicy reporting
Federal safety-framework chatter remains active
The contract stays live but sub-50.