Market price$191k demo volume
38%
$1.5K depth
← New
Active
N
Will OpenAI reveal a consumer device in 2026?
$191k demo volume vol$1.5K depth liq1,220 demo traders161 days left
Chance
38%Yes
+4 pts this week
Volume$191k demo volume
Liquidity$1.5K depth
Ends161 days left
Probability path38%
Evidence-linked repricing across the latest reporting cycle.
Order book
Top levels
LevelPriceSizeYesNo
Offer 1$74k
38%
$74k
Offer 2$56k
40%
$56k
Offer 3$39k
42%
$39k
Market activity
Signals and updates
Market updateApr 26
Partner reportingLow
New partner chatter lifts the contract modestly
Traders price in higher reveal odds without fully trusting the timeline.
SignalApril 23, 2026
OpenAI News99
Introducing GPT-5.5
Introducing GPT-5.5, our smartest model yet—faster, more capable, and built for complex tasks like coding, research, and data analysis across tools.
SignalApril 21, 2026
OpenAI News99
Scaling Codex to enterprises worldwide
OpenAI launches Codex Labs, partners with with Accenture, PwC, Infosys, and others to help enterprises deploy and scale Codex across the software development lifecycle, and hits 4M Codex WAU.
SignalApril 20, 2026
OpenAI News95
OpenAI helps Hyatt advance AI among colleagues
Hyatt deploys ChatGPT Enterprise across its global workforce, using GPT-5.4 and Codex to improve productivity, operations, and guest experiences.
Resolution
Market rules
Settlement rule
Resolves YES if OpenAI publicly reveals a consumer hardware device in calendar 2026.
December 31, 2026161 days left
Timeline
Event-by-event log
Apr 26
Low impactPartner reporting
New partner chatter lifts the contract modestly
Traders price in higher reveal odds without fully trusting the timeline.