Market price$173k demo volume
26%
$1.5K depth
← New
Active
N
Will OpenAI acquire an AI chip startup in 2026?
$173k demo volume vol$1.5K depth liq1,090 demo traders160 days left
Chance
26%Yes
+4 pts this quarter
Volume$173k demo volume
Liquidity$1.5K depth
Ends160 days left
Probability path26%
Evidence-linked repricing across the latest reporting cycle.
Order book
Top levels
LevelPriceSizeYesNo
Offer 1$56k
26%
$56k
Offer 2$40k
28%
$40k
Offer 3$28k
30%
$28k
Market activity
Signals and updates
Market updateApr 22
Infrastructure reportingLow
Strategic-chip speculation returns
The contract remains well below even but more live than before.
Resolution
Market rules
Settlement rule
Resolves YES if OpenAI acquires an AI chip startup during calendar 2026.
December 31, 2026160 days left
Timeline
Event-by-event log
Apr 22
Low impactInfrastructure reporting
Strategic-chip speculation returns
The contract remains well below even but more live than before.