Market price$244k demo volume
45%
$1.5K depth
← Politics
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Will Tesla hold a robotaxi launch event before July?
$244k demo volume vol$1.5K depth liq1,510 demo tradersResolution date passed
Chance
45%Yes
+5 pts this week
Volume$244k demo volume
Liquidity$1.5K depth
EndsResolution date passed
Probability path45%
Evidence-linked repricing across the latest reporting cycle.
Order book
Top levels
LevelPriceSizeYesNo
Offer 1$96k
45%
$96k
Offer 2$71k
47%
$71k
Offer 3$52k
49%
$52k
Market activity
Signals and updates
Market updateApr 23
Company remarksMedium
Launch language grows more specific
The contract edges higher on improved event confidence.
Resolution
Market rules
Settlement rule
Resolves YES if Tesla publicly holds a robotaxi launch event before July 1, 2026 UTC.
2026-06-30Resolution date passed
Timeline
Event-by-event log
Apr 23
Medium impactCompany remarks
Launch language grows more specific
The contract edges higher on improved event confidence.