P

Will a Supreme Court term-limits bill clear either chamber in 2026?

$176k demo volume vol$1.5K depth liq1,230 demo traders69 days left
18%Yes

+3 pts this month

Volume$176k demo volume
Liquidity$1.5K depth
Ends69 days left
Probability path18%

Evidence-linked repricing across the latest reporting cycle.

20%40%60%80%
Apr 1611%
T212%
T313%
T413%
T514%
T615%
T716%
T817%
T918%

Top levels

0¢ spread
LevelPriceSizeYesNo
Market price$176k demo volume
18%
$1.5K depth
Offer 1$61k
18%
$61k
Offer 2$43k
20%
$43k
Offer 3$28k
22%
$28k

Signals and updates

All signals
Market updateApr 16
Committee chatterLow

Reform language resurfaces in committee discussion

The contract lifts off very low base odds.

PoliticsExplicit rule

Market rules

Explicit rule
Settlement rule

Resolves YES if a Supreme Court term-limits bill passes either the House or Senate during calendar 2026.

2026-12-3169 days left

Event-by-event log

1 entries
Apr 16
Low impactCommittee chatter

Reform language resurfaces in committee discussion

The contract lifts off very low base odds.

Politics