Market price$258k demo volume
37%
$1.5K depth
← Politics
Active
P
Will the White House announce a new tariff package by June 30?
$258k demo volume vol$1.5K depth liq1,950 demo tradersResolution date passed
Chance
37%Yes
-7 pts today
Volume$258k demo volume
Liquidity$1.5K depth
EndsResolution date passed
Probability path37%
Evidence-linked repricing across the latest reporting cycle.
Order book
Top levels
LevelPriceSizeYesNo
Offer 1$90k
37%
$90k
Offer 2$65k
39%
$65k
Offer 3$40k
41%
$40k
Market activity
Signals and updates
Market updateApr 21
Policy reportingHigh
Draft package narrows after internal review
The market reprices lower on signs of delay.
Resolution
Market rules
Settlement rule
Resolves YES if the White House formally announces a new tariff package by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026.
2026-06-30Resolution date passed
Timeline
Event-by-event log
Apr 21
High impactPolicy reporting
Draft package narrows after internal review
The market reprices lower on signs of delay.