Market price$244k demo volume
45%
$1.5K depth
← New
Active
N
Will Tesla hold a robotaxi launch event before July?
$244k demo volume vol$1.5K depth liq1,510 demo tradersResolution date passed
Chance
45%Yes
+5 pts this week
Volume$244k demo volume
Liquidity$1.5K depth
EndsResolution date passed
Probability path45%
Evidence-linked repricing across the latest reporting cycle.
Order book
Top levels
LevelPriceSizeYesNo
Offer 1$96k
45%
$96k
Offer 2$71k
47%
$71k
Offer 3$52k
49%
$52k
Market activity
Signals and updates
Market updateApr 23
Company remarksMedium
Launch language grows more specific
The contract edges higher on improved event confidence.
SignalApril 21, 2026
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Resolution
Market rules
Settlement rule
Resolves YES if Tesla publicly holds a robotaxi launch event before July 1, 2026 UTC.
June 30, 2026Resolution date passed
Timeline
Event-by-event log
Apr 23
Medium impactCompany remarks
Launch language grows more specific
The contract edges higher on improved event confidence.