Market price$191k demo volume
38%
$1.5K depth
← Politics
Active
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Will OpenAI reveal a consumer device in 2026?
$191k demo volume vol$1.5K depth liq1,220 demo traders69 days left
Chance
38%Yes
+4 pts this week
Volume$191k demo volume
Liquidity$1.5K depth
Ends69 days left
Probability path38%
Evidence-linked repricing across the latest reporting cycle.
Order book
Top levels
LevelPriceSizeYesNo
Offer 1$74k
38%
$74k
Offer 2$56k
40%
$56k
Offer 3$39k
42%
$39k
Market activity
Signals and updates
Market updateApr 26
Partner reportingLow
New partner chatter lifts the contract modestly
Traders price in higher reveal odds without fully trusting the timeline.
Resolution
Market rules
Settlement rule
Resolves YES if OpenAI publicly reveals a consumer hardware device in calendar 2026.
2026-12-3169 days left
Timeline
Event-by-event log
Apr 26
Low impactPartner reporting
New partner chatter lifts the contract modestly
Traders price in higher reveal odds without fully trusting the timeline.