Market price$177k demo volume
12%
$1.5K depth
← Politics
Active
P
Will the Fed make an emergency rate cut in 2026?
$177k demo volume vol$1.5K depth liq1,090 demo traders69 days left
Chance
12%Yes
+1 pt this quarter
Volume$177k demo volume
Liquidity$1.5K depth
Ends69 days left
Probability path12%
Evidence-linked repricing across the latest reporting cycle.
Order book
Top levels
LevelPriceSizeYesNo
Offer 1$49k
12%
$49k
Offer 2$35k
14%
$35k
Offer 3$25k
16%
$25k
Market activity
Signals and updates
Market updateApr 21
Risk marketsLow
Stress indicators remain contained
The market stays pinned near low-tail odds.
Resolution
Market rules
Settlement rule
Resolves YES if the Federal Reserve makes an emergency rate cut outside its normal scheduled meeting process in 2026.
2026-12-3169 days left
Timeline
Event-by-event log
Apr 21
Low impactRisk markets
Stress indicators remain contained
The market stays pinned near low-tail odds.