Market price$177k demo volume
12%
$1.5K depth
← New
Active
N
Will the Fed make an emergency rate cut in 2026?
$177k demo volume vol$1.5K depth liq1,090 demo traders160 days left
Chance
12%Yes
+1 pt this quarter
Volume$177k demo volume
Liquidity$1.5K depth
Ends160 days left
Probability path12%
Evidence-linked repricing across the latest reporting cycle.
Order book
Top levels
LevelPriceSizeYesNo
Offer 1$49k
12%
$49k
Offer 2$35k
14%
$35k
Offer 3$25k
16%
$25k
Market activity
Signals and updates
Market updateApr 21
Risk marketsLow
Stress indicators remain contained
The market stays pinned near low-tail odds.
SignalApril 21, 2026
Federal Reserve Speeches83
Waller, Modernizing Federal Reserve Operations in the 21st Century
Speech At The Brookings Institution, Washington, D.C.
Resolution
Market rules
Settlement rule
Resolves YES if the Federal Reserve makes an emergency rate cut outside its normal scheduled meeting process in 2026.
December 31, 2026160 days left
Timeline
Event-by-event log
Apr 21
Low impactRisk markets
Stress indicators remain contained
The market stays pinned near low-tail odds.