Market price$172k demo volume
67%
$1.5K depth
← New
Active
N
Will Elon Musk give a major Mars timeline update in 2026?
$172k demo volume vol$1.5K depth liq1,070 demo traders160 days left
Chance
67%Yes
+3 pts this week
Volume$172k demo volume
Liquidity$1.5K depth
Ends160 days left
Probability path67%
Evidence-linked repricing across the latest reporting cycle.
Order book
Top levels
LevelPriceSizeYesNo
Offer 1$63k
67%
$63k
Offer 2$47k
69%
$47k
Offer 3$33k
71%
$33k
Market activity
Signals and updates
Market updateApr 26
Event expectationsLow
Upcoming milestone cycle boosts odds of another update
The contract remains a clear favorite.
Resolution
Market rules
Settlement rule
Resolves YES if Elon Musk publicly gives a major updated Mars mission timeline in calendar 2026.
December 31, 2026160 days left
Timeline
Event-by-event log
Apr 26
Low impactEvent expectations
Upcoming milestone cycle boosts odds of another update
The contract remains a clear favorite.