Market price$390k demo volume
36%
$1.5K depth
← Economics
Active
E
Will the Fed cut rates at least three times in 2026?
$390k demo volume vol$1.5K depth liq2,460 demo traders69 days left
Chance
36%Yes
+7 pts this month
Volume$390k demo volume
Liquidity$1.5K depth
Ends69 days left
Probability path36%
Evidence-linked repricing across the latest reporting cycle.
Order book
Top levels
LevelPriceSizeYesNo
Offer 1$114k
36%
$114k
Offer 2$83k
38%
$83k
Offer 3$59k
40%
$59k
Market activity
Signals and updates
Market updateApr 24
Rates futuresMedium
Front-end futures reopen a multi-cut path
The contract moves off the lows as easing odds improve.
Resolution
Market rules
Settlement rule
Resolves YES if the Federal Reserve cuts its target rate at least three separate times during calendar 2026.
2026-12-3169 days left
Timeline
Event-by-event log
Apr 24
Medium impactRates futures
Front-end futures reopen a multi-cut path
The contract moves off the lows as easing odds improve.