Market price$390k demo volume
36%
$1.5K depth
← Economy
Active
E
Will the Fed cut rates at least three times in 2026?
$390k demo volume vol$1.5K depth liq2,460 demo traders164 days left
Chance
36%Yes
+7 pts this month
Volume$390k demo volume
Liquidity$1.5K depth
Ends164 days left
Probability path36%
Evidence-linked repricing across the latest reporting cycle.
Order book
Top levels
LevelPriceSizeYesNo
Offer 1$114k
36%
$114k
Offer 2$83k
38%
$83k
Offer 3$59k
40%
$59k
Market activity
Signals and updates
Market updateApr 24
Rates futuresMedium
Front-end futures reopen a multi-cut path
The contract moves off the lows as easing odds improve.
SignalApril 24, 2026
Federal Reserve Press Releases83
Federal Reserve Board announces approval of application by Banco de Credito del Peru
Federal Reserve Board announces approval of application by Banco de Credito del Peru
SignalApril 24, 2026
Federal Reserve Press Releases83
Federal Reserve Board announces approval of application by OceanFirst Financial Corp.
Federal Reserve Board announces approval of application by OceanFirst Financial Corp.
SignalApril 23, 2026
Federal Reserve Press Releases83
Agencies finalize changes to enhance community bank leverage ratio
Agencies finalize changes to enhance community bank leverage ratio
SignalApril 22, 2026
Federal Reserve Press Releases83
Federal Reserve Board issues enforcement action with former employee of First Financial Bank
Federal Reserve Board issues enforcement action with former employee of First Financial Bank
SignalApril 21, 2026
Federal Reserve Speeches83
Waller, Modernizing Federal Reserve Operations in the 21st Century
Speech At The Brookings Institution, Washington, D.C.
Resolution
Market rules
Settlement rule
Resolves YES if the Federal Reserve cuts its target rate at least three separate times during calendar 2026.
December 31, 2026164 days left
Timeline
Event-by-event log
Apr 24
Medium impactRates futures
Front-end futures reopen a multi-cut path
The contract moves off the lows as easing odds improve.