Market price$214k demo volume
62%
$1.5K depth
← New
Active
N
Will Trump publish more than 20 X posts next week?
$214k demo volume vol$1.5K depth liq1,240 demo tradersResolution date passed
Chance
62%Yes
+6 pts today
Volume$214k demo volume
Liquidity$1.5K depth
EndsResolution date passed
Probability path62%
Evidence-linked repricing across the latest reporting cycle.
Order book
Top levels
LevelPriceSizeYesNo
Offer 1$88k
62%
$88k
Offer 2$70k
64%
$70k
Offer 3$48k
66%
$48k
Market activity
Signals and updates
Market updateApr 24
Platform activityHigh
Posting count spikes during evening session
Intraday behavior resembles prior momentum weeks.
Market updateApr 22
Campaign scheduleMedium
Three public events added to next week's calendar
The revised schedule increases the odds of a denser posting cadence.
Resolution
Market rules
Settlement rule
Resolves YES if Donald Trump publishes more than 20 posts on X between May 4 and May 10, 2026, UTC.
May 10, 2026Resolution date passed
Timeline
Event-by-event log
Apr 22
Medium impactCampaign schedule
Three public events added to next week's calendar
The revised schedule increases the odds of a denser posting cadence.
Apr 24
High impactPlatform activity
Posting count spikes during evening session
Intraday behavior resembles prior momentum weeks.